fatpat

Obama almost done

fatpat

Good morning

fatpat

Is there any news from the "18 big" that support the markets

21800.....

fatpat

ATM effect?

Euro drop another 2% (but not)

[ 本帖最後由 fatpat 於 2012-11-8 16:01 編輯 ]

fatpat

It breaks CB900 C Hing 21690 resistance and run all the way to the target 21525.

Hooray CB900 C Hing.

Now that what if US / Euro stay flat, what's the next move  (21250 )

fatpat

Good morning

fatpat

Good morning

fatpat

引用:

原帖由 ourstation 於 2012-11-12 15:08 發表


fatpat 有無d組合介紹吓, 在 21000 同 22000 之間

If you have margin and brave enough,

1) SC210 x 1 + SP210 x 1 + SC218 x 1 + SP218 x 1
    (usually aside $200K margin for a set)
    credit around 500pts+, so BE ~ 208 / 220
    P.S. IV is low, so not quite profitable

or

Ratio Spread

2) LP214 x 1 + SP210 x 2 (look down)
    and
    LC214 x 1 + SC218 x 2 (look up)
    (usually aside $100K margin for a set)
     BE ~ 209 / 221
     P.S. Can buy only one side to bet one side

or not much money to bet

Spread

3)  LP212 + SP210 (look down)
    (usually aside $5K margin for a set)
     or
     LC218 + SP220 (look up)   
    (usually aside $5K margin for a set)

[ 本帖最後由 fatpat 於 2012-11-12 17:15 編輯 ]

fatpat

If I have margin, usually I'll do the something a bit more complicate, e.g

LC216 x 1 + SC220 x 1 + SC222 x n (Think not over 222)
LP214 x 1 + SP210 x 1 + SP206 x n (Think not below 206)

n is depends on the premium and how much you want to RISK!
Usually asside $50K x n for margin

If the IV is higher, Iron Condor is also a good choice, as you know
the maximum risk (~$5K?) when you place the trade.
LC222 + SC220 + SP210 + LP208

fatpat

If you have time (I don't), assume the market is slow and swing in a small range (~200pts),

1) use #1 TACL to open the spread(s) on one side, e.g #1 in the bottom and go up,
     LP210 / SP212 (Bull Put Spread) and/or LC214 / SC216 (Bull Call Spread)

2) when #1 TACL on the other side, #1 turn back down on top,
   turn the spread(s) into a butterfly/condor, and open another set(s)
   SP212/ LP214 (Butterfly) / SP214/LP216 (Condor) (Bear Put Spread)
   SC216//LC218 (Butterfly) / SC218/LC220 (Condor) (Bear Call Spread)

3) next when the #1 TACL again, do it again and again

you can repeat the above process for as long as you like,
this method minimize the costs/risk a lot.