fatpat

引用:

原帖由 OK~ 於 2014-2-28 21:02 發表

各位晚安!

2月初期指裂口下破21600水平, 未能下試20800-20900水平, 低見21143點大幅反彈; 月中上試並上破反彈對稱目標約22500-22550水平, 高見22751點回落調整, 月尾再試23000水平, 高見22937點回落

以下內容需要回復才能看到

從日線圖看, 上月期指低位接近一下跌浪之力量擴張目標, 因此出現較大反彈

日圖現行#2V3向上, 期指如能上破23000水平, 反彈力量次目標約23250-23300水平、對稱目標約23850-23900水平

注意, 日圖雖見#2V3向上, 唯期指受制於100MA、大時代亦將見後交叉; 期指如未能上破23300水平而見大成交下破22400水平, 期指將下試下跌力量縮減次目標約22000水平、21600水平

留意Bible、GP & TRP訊號轉變

...

Meet OK C Hing projection ~21600

Wonder whether it will try the Feb bottom 212 or the lower target ~207
before rebound to the target settlement ~220

fatpat

引用:

原帖由 fatpat 於 2014-3-3 10:46 發表

Let's assume market will try the support 216/220, did a Broken Wing Butterfly (BWB, hope I recall the strategy name correct) this morning

LP218 @174 x 2
SP216 @136 x 3
LP212 @  63 x 1

Debit 3 pts, i.e max loss 3 pts + commission
Best settle @216 win 397pts less commission

Probably will add more butterflies along the month ...

Although my BWB doesn't win much

LP218 x 2 @174 / 442
SP216 x 3 @136 / 330
LP212 x 1 @63   / 175

Current unrealized gain 66pts

Follow up strategy could be eat 1 set and take profit,
and use the profit to open another set,

let's said target settle ~220

how about

LC218 x 2 @188
SC220 x 3 @122
LC224 x 1 @45

Debit ~55pts.

So leaving 2 bwb with no costs

Hoping to settle within 212-224 for big winnings (lottery )

P.S. or better yet, wait for C Hings new settlement prediction before placing the next bet

[ 本帖最後由 fatpat 於 2014-3-14 12:09 編輯 ]

fatpat

引用:

原帖由 fatpat 於 2014-3-6 18:30 發表

基本按金    ~$31150
ATM Premium ~180pts
Assume       $50/pts

Drop to and settle @9000

Max margin <$40000

ROI 40 x $50 / $40000 = 5%

Current HHI 9237, ~2% from 9000

Initial margin now $21,975
Unrealized loss    (89 - 40) x $50 = $2450

Assume 80% M. Margin, so ~$20,000+ margin requirement now.

Just to show that playing naked you really have to plan ahead for risk management.

I did Jan SP222, although settled above 222, but when it dropped to 218,
I was being call margin, took the loss and seeing it back up and expired worthless

fatpat

The story didn't end after the margin call.

Thinking that the market wouldn't  go back to 226, I did Feb SC228 after squared the poor Jan SP222

and being call margin again in Feb when the market climbed  back to 227

fatpat

My remark,

the more accurate your prediction, more stressful if you play close using naked.

Really stressful if the market do hit your target (now @215) , you do some short there (SP214),
but you are unsure whether it is the market turn or the trend will continue.

uuyyuu

尋日222平佐補216都捉到鴨!
代號        名稱        上日持倉        存取        今日長倉        今日短倉        今日淨倉        淨倉        市價        盈虧        前收市價        參考兌換率        盈虧(基本貨幣)        合約值
MHIH4        小恆指 2014-03        1@21930.00                3@21705.00        -6@21754.67        -3@21804.33        -2@21741.50        21532        4,190.00 HKD        21751        1.0000        4,190.00 HKD        10
HSIJ4        恆指 2014-04        1@21773.00                2@21538.50        -3@21623.67        -1@21794.00        0@-21.00        21525        1,050.00 HKD        21745        1.0000        1,050.00 HKD        50
HSI21600O4        恆指 2014-03 21600 Put        1@173.00                                        1@173.00        336        8,150.00 HKD        234        1.0000        8,150.00 HKD        50
今日有初歩觸底訊號?

klm

引用:

原帖由 klm 於 2014-3-12 15:19 發表
同時間亦可套用股票身上，現睇住27銀娛，大時代現3pm,行下午，#2-pc,暫時都無運行。

之亞ir教落，未見出關势未盡，睇黎要見返65水平先，各位c hing有時間研究下！

[ 本帖最後由 klm 於 2014-3-14 13:34 編輯 ]

uuyyuu

看五仔应知會有力托?

uuyyuu

213如守不住就如紅潮汎濫!

oem7110

引用:

原帖由 fatpat 於 2014-3-14 12:33 發表
My remark,

the more accurate your prediction, more stressful if you play close using naked.

Really stressful if the market do hit your target (now @215) , you do some short there (SP214),
but you ar ...

To be or Not to be ...