fatpat

引用:

原帖由 edwardwcf21 於 2012-6-13 09:12 發表
真的可以嗎 ??  都唔知能否上去 191

Ooooops.  Within an hour market backed down to 18700.

Is it the small G as measured by OK C Hing as the bottom

Let's see.

KM88

last top = 18972
last day high = 18857

20 ma = 18620
last day low = 18614
10 ma = 18493

edwardwcf21

異想: 週五 ching 有否打算搏番舖大小...用乜價好呀 ??

sinding

引用:

原帖由 fatpat 於 2012-6-13 10:06 發表
Cont....

You gain 72pts and pay 62pts, thus nett 10pts, enough to cover the commissions.

Consider the market

18000 or above  -> all contract will expire, so you loss nothing.
17600 - 18000    -> yo ...

ni个策略啱我學, 我的弱项. 多谢!

ckguy2006

多謝 fatpat c-hing 詳細解說, very very good, thank you very much.

OK~

引用:

原帖由 fatpat 於 2012-6-13 09:52 發表


Using current bid/ask

LP180 x 1 @155
SP176 x 1 @93
Debit (155 - 93) 62pts
This is a Bear Put Spread, i.e. using put to short (think downward)
and it is a debit trade, i.e. you have to pay 62pts for ...

感謝Fatpat兄詳盡分享高效入市策略
小弟授教

fatpat

引用:

原帖由 sinding 於 2012-6-13 10:43 發表

ni个策略啱我學, 我的弱项. 多谢!

BUT remember it is VERY RISKY if market drop very quick,
said 2000pts in 3 days!

Anyway, yesterday Jun option distribution range 170 - 200 (Yesterday Vol > 500),
current maximum pain @19400, so looks OK this morning.

P.S. except 150P vol = 610

msexchsrv

#330 停牌

CB900

thank you for teaching

fatpat

引用:

原帖由 edwardwcf21 於 2012-6-13 10:35 發表
異想: 週五 ching 有否打算搏番舖大小...用乜價好呀 ??

搏番舖大小?

Oh yes, I'm a pathological gambler ma .

BTW, I'm still learning the strategies, this ratio put is already a good gambling strategy to bet down to 17400,
using only margin to bet 1000-2000pts downward.

Use an condor to bet up 1000pts

LC194 @162
SC196 @105
SC198 @67
LC200 @43

Debit 33pts, win if close between 19434 - 19966.
Max win 167pts if close within 196 - 198, max loss 33pts.
Win:loss ratio 167:33 ~5:1

OR you can adjust the mid point (the SC pair) to wherever you think Jun will close at.

P.S. I doubt that it can go that high.