paaq

我覺得歐洲最壞既情況都未出現(骨牌效應)，呢次跌浪現在言底實太早。

MAY雖然跌突左(190P), 但只要淡友唔平倉，一日都仲有得去

幾時會平 ? 跌夠咪平啦

fatpat

Good morning

KM88

有人話逢11時後多數跌，
股票行朝早call孖展，如還未入數，
此刻會陸續cut倉！

[ 本帖最後由 KM88 於 2012-5-18 11:46 編輯 ]

odinchu

咁嚴重?

ricksuen

引用:

原帖由 ourstation 於 2012-5-18 10:54 發表


雖今日 MQ 到位, 但又跌穿一條 Mr Gann

再唔喘定, 下一站 175

謝謝CHING提醒!

msexchsrv

SP16600 has 50 points.  Did 4 naked short has $10,000

ricksuen

上年6/10, 7/10有個裂口17220~17400。

fatpat

引用:

原帖由 fatpat 於 2012-5-17 16:58 發表


I just did before closing BEAR PUT SPREAD

JUN L180P  @384
JUN S178P  @330
MAY S168P @33
Debit 21pts ~$1200.

Assume that May won't drop below 16800
(Drop 200pts (1%) per day, 9 days to closing => 1 ...

Even better this morning,

This set costs 0 pts (523 - 470 + 53),
MAY  SP168 X 1 @53
JUN   LP180 X 1 @523
JUN   SP178 X 1 @470


Thanks for the "high IV" and "mid month", a very good combination for this setup.


SP168 have a high premium (53pts), and it is only "Time Premium",
and after "mid month", time premium start decay very fast.
Therefore a very very good chance the SP168 will expire wothless.


If market turns around to go up next Monday, at least I won't loss anything.


P.S. Most fat bull being killed this morning.
P.P.S US & China May option/future will expire tonight.


A very good timing to rebound.


P.P.S From option distribution, 170P has 1.189K OI now


8 more days to go

tika

秋官效應,...真係勁...
未上都跌到咁....上左唔知會點呢....

fatpat

BTW, please noted that

The Jun LP180/SP178 sets have a debit spread of ~53/54pts, both yesterday & today.

However, the premium for SP168 has shooted to DH 63 points this morning
from around 33 points yesterday or 24 point (yesterday closed).

WARNING: Short PUT at month end is very high RISK.